Subject: MM#003 Major Flare Watch" -
Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2014 23:48:24 +0000

 

Dear RHESSI Collaborators,

Solar activity is at a moderate-to-high level. NOAA region 12002 continued in growth phase over the past 24 hours, increasing in spot area and number of spots. This region also increased in complexity, now being classified as a beta-gamma-delta/E-type sunspot group, and produced 3 C-class flares since the last email (the largest being a C9.7 on 11-Mar-2014 at 16:20 UT). However, NOAA region 11996 continues to be flare productive as it rotates up to the North West limb. This region was the source of 2 M-class flares since the last email, the largest being an M9.3 on 12-Mar-2014 at 22:28 UT. Although NOAA 11996 is too close to the limb to accurately determine its magnetic complexity, a MM#003 Major Flare Watch is now in effect for this region (for at least the next 24 hours) because of its recent area growth and increase in flaring rate and peak magnitude. More low M-class activity is probable over the next 24 hours, with a chance for another flare above the M5 level.

The position of NOAA 11996 on 12-Mar-2014 at 23:30 UT is:

N14W77, ( 913", 258" )

See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.

Regards,

Shaun Bloomfield (Trinity College Dublin) Received on Wed Mar 12 2014 - 17:48:37 MDT