MM#003 Major Flare Watch

Dear RHESSI Collaborators,

Target region NOAA 1515 continues to maintain a complex F-type/beta-gamma-delta sunspot group but has lost some of its strongest delta configuration. 1515 was the source of countless C-class events and a few low-level M-class events during the past 24 hours. At this time we are suspending the MM#018 (Region Likely To Produce Great Flares) observing plan and return to the Major Flare Watch plan. An X-class event =/>X5 is less likely in the next 24 hours. 1515 still has the potential to produce an M-class event =/>M5. The large region near the southeast limb (S17E77) could also be a source of an M-class event.

The position of NOAA 1515 on July 06 at 13:00 UT is: S17W44 (Solar X = 628", Solar Y = -315")

See http://www.SolarMonitor.org for images and http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/observing.shtml for a description of the current Max Millennium Observing Plan.

Regards,

Bill Marquette (Helio Research) Received on Fri Jul 06 2012 - 10:05:08 MDT