Flare Prediction System

	26 April 2024
⇐20240425 ⇐Week ⇐Rotation	Today	Rotation⇒ Week⇒ 20240427⇒

Active Regions
No Data

Flare Prediction System
MM MotD

Region Flare Probabilities (%)

NOAA Number	McIntosh Class	C-class	M-class	X-class
No Prediction Found

Solar Monitor's flare prediction system's (FPS) probabilities are calculated using NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data combined over 1969-1976 and 1988-1996 (details of which can be found in Bloomfield et al., 2012, The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 747, L41 , along with full forecast verification testing).

See Gallagher, P. T., Moon, Y.-J., Wang, H., Solar Physics, 209, 171, (2002),
Wheatland, M. S., 2001, Solar Physics, 203, 87 and Moon et al., 2001, Journal of Geophysical Research-Space Physics, 106(A12) 29951 for further details.

Occurrence of '...' indicates that McIntosh class was not observed in the period over which the Poisson flare rate statistics were determined. When viewed in real-time and before 22:00 UT, NOAA predictions are valid up to 22:00 UT on the current date. When viewed in real-time after 22:00 UT (or when viewing past dates), NOAA predictions are valid up to 22:00 UT on the following date. The most recent data can also be found at NOAA's 3-day Space Weather Predictions page.

Please contact Peter Gallagher if you have any comments or questions regarding this research.

X-rays
Protons
Electrons

Plasma
B Field

3 Day
6 Hour

Events

SolarSoft
SWPC HEK

IDL Access

Today's/Yesterday's NOAA Active Regions
NOAA Number	Latest Position	Hale Class	McIntosh Class	Sunspot Area [millionths]	Number of Spots	Recent Flares
No Data Available For This Day

Class (HH:MM) -Today
Class (HH:MM) -Yesterday

Events not associated with currently named NOAA regions: No Data Available

Note: The tabulated data are based on the most recent NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary issued on some time. The greyed out and light-blue entries are values from the previous day. Slashed cells indicate that the active region has no spots. The latest positions of the active regions are given in both heliographic and heliocentric co-ordinates. The region positions are valid on some time .